Negotiating with Ourselves
Oopsie! It was an incredibly bad idea when we decided to kill the Grand Ayatollah. We really screwed the pooch with that decision. So let's take a look at the grandstanding and chatter this morning:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15677073/Iran-fires-missiles-American-military-bases-Gulf-says-US-negotiating-live-updates.html
Grandstanding:
Statement by the spokesperson of the Martyr Soleimani Command of the Iranian Armed Forces, addressed to Washington. (His image is also posted with communications issued by the "Office of the Seal of the Prophet"):
(Note: I just added the image now - (12:46) - in case there is a level of interest.
"Do not call your defeat an agreement. Neither will your investments in the region return, nor will the previous energy and oil prices be seen again."
Spokesperson for Parliament's National Security Committee:
"Iran still has much to do with the enemy, and the Iranian missiles are in constant negotiation with the enemy."
OSINT Strategic Chatter:
Strengthening the depth of air defense and dispersing assets with the condition of rapid access to nuclear deterrence:
Maintaining domestic survivability is a condition for victory. Iran must minimize the possibility of effective targeting by the enemy by increasing the mobility of systems, camouflage, and dispersal. In this model, the enemy will not achieve a strategic result even in the event of a successful attack, and on the other hand, during this time, it will quickly move towards nuclear deterrence, which will be stabilized by this deterrence from one place to another, and there is no need for a war of attrition for Iran.
6. Taking advantage of the simultaneous pressure of the axis of resistance
Operational coordination with the allies of the axis of resistance in the region can transform the pressure from a point to a network. This will cause the enemy to be involved in several fronts at the same time and lose its ability to concentrate. The same thing that Hezbollah in Lebanon is doing, and from this point on, it is necessary for Ansarullah in Yemen and the Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq to launch their territorial attacks to neutralize the sovereignty of the main Arab host of the Americans.
7. Managing the war until reaching the desired point of surrender of the enemy, especially in the part of neutralizing the enemy's ability to attack again:
Given Iran's lack of direct access to American soil, Iran's strategy should focus on "imposing an unbearable cost on the enemy's peripheral environment and strategic depth, namely the financial markets." In such a way that the continuation of the war for the United States and Israel will no longer be justified as an existential war economically, militarily, and politically. This path will lead them to accept a ceasefire in conditions close to Iran's interests.
What is taking shape is not a sudden defeat, but a systematic erosion of American and Israeli air power. Iran has been able to change the logic of war by focusing on key infrastructure instead of directly engaging with platforms. If this trend continues and the pressure on multiple fronts is maintained, the end result could be a gradual but definite collapse in the enemy’s operational capability.
Iran faces a historic opportunity in this war: to transform defensive superiority into strategic superiority. The key to this success lies not in aimlessly escalating the conflict, but in precise, intelligent, and multi-layered management of the field. If this strategy is implemented correctly, the end result could be to consolidate Iran’s position as the region’s decisive power and end the war in a situation where security and national interests are preserved with minimal human cost.
(Name redacted from post)
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