Evening Scan of What is OSINT


What is below: from a pro-Iranian Telegram channel.  It is posted in the category of interesting reading, and nothing else.  I have no special tools to vet information nor validate the remarks of another from my desktop.  So categorize this as "opinion" -  oops!  No differently than what I provide from day to day.

Here is the snatch and grab:

"The exact translation of the analysis is from a Turkish analyst close to the Turkish government who, by the way, has been anti-Iranian or anti-resistance-oriented policies in the past.

See for yourself how he warns:

The situation is terrible! The airports of Israel and colonial Cyprus are so unreliable that they even send tanker planes from Sofia to supply fighter jets in the Mediterranean. An incredibly expensive air operation is underway. They are just trying to keep air patrol duties alive! They are on the verge of collapse!

They fly 3,500 kilometers round trip to the Persian Gulf. Their goal is not even to launch cruise missiles anymore. They are just trying to provide air security along the Iranian border and prevent Iranian warplanes from bombing the Middle East. This is a very, very bad situation. Even with tanker operations, it costs $200,000 to transport 1 ton of bombs, such as MK-84, to the Iranian border. This is long over! They don’t even carry bombs anymore! It’s just air patrol! And even that, with intensive tanker operations, costs at least $50,000-$100,000 an hour!

Since their ground radars are targeted, they are dependent on airstrikes. As soon as those patrol planes are down, Iran will bomb the entire Middle East from the air!

Tankers, AWACS, and bombers, exposed and not housed in fortified hangars, will become obvious targets throughout the Middle East. Drones and ballistic missiles will easily attack them. As soon as the airstrikes collapse, Iraq will fall.

As soon as Iraq falls, smaller but more numerous drones like the Harpoon will begin attacking colonial Israel from the Iraqi border. Again, cheap and abundant ballistic missiles with a range of 300-400 kilometers will be launched from Iraq. Iranian planes will launch ALBM ballistic missiles, air-launched ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles from Iraq! Colonial Israel will not be able to launch a plane!

From what I understand, the final stage of the war is about to begin. Iran knows it is winning but is not showing it! We are the ones analyzing and writing about it and warning our country. Let us take our positions accordingly. If the Middle East is going to be divided, let us divide it in a way that benefits us!

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