Evening Thoughts


As our military continues to preen regarding crumbling Iran's offensive wall, we can easily forget that the nation has a cavernous network of veins which house their capillaries of war.  And for the record, Iran still controls the moat.  As of tonight, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.  And now Iran is making demands that all payment for passage be paid with Iranian toman.

To be fair, regarding our commanding officers and their comments on our military actions, the garrison always speaks with strong male voice.  Soldiers have earned this right.   But foreign affairs requires the softer, modulated voice of a woman.  So while the garrison and the DepState are meant to be equal, they retain dissimilar identities regarding function.

We might indeed present as invincible on the battlefield.  But with regard to appeasing Iran for our monumental intelligence blunder which caused the deaths of a young female student body at Minab, we have demonstrated that while the god of war might be unassailable,  away from the battlefield, we are mere mortals.  Certainly, all understand that with modern warfare the primary goal is never to deliberately dehumanize man, but to achieve broad-based strategic outcomes.  But our "first day in" - an unintentional inhumanity was on full display with the severed limbs and tattered backpacks.

Because of this, Iran's counterstroke for the negotiations tomorrow is going to look much different than we imagine.  We are thinking in terms of negotiations.   Iran?  They are only interested in exploitation.  And in coming months, the level of this exploitation will be felt across the region.  

Whether we like it or not, the Sunni v Shi'a animosity in the Middle East has always worked to our advantage as a counter-balancing act.  It is very possible that President Trump has in single-handed manner degraded and depolarized a political electrical charge which suited us well.  And on the other side of this - we might just see a surprising and new geopolitical alliance between Tehran and the Gulf States regarding the manner in which business is conducted in the region.

Are we ready for the possible emergence of an Islamic "super state" as Sunni and Shi'a initially set aside their differences to punish the United States for this latest cluster; and then discover viable common ground for future collaborative financial ventures?  I think it is very, very possible.  

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